Saturday, June 1, 2013
Gachagua Ngunjiri: I know what I want. Do I really need a Feasibility...
Gachagua Ngunjiri: I know what I want. Do I really need a Feasibility...: I know what I want. Do I really need a Feasibility Study? Habida and Joash made a call to me a fortnight ago; the call came from Habid...
I know what I want. Do I really need a Feasibility Study?
I
know what I want. Do I really need a Feasibility Study?
Habida
and Joash made a call to me a fortnight ago; the call came from Habida as she
was the one I had happened to interact with him in a previous engagement. Joash
is the husband to Habida and he happens to work out of the country most of the
time. My meeting with Habida was a sheer coincidence where I was involved in
the development of luxury apartments for her friend Keziah in the up market
area of Lavington, Nairobi Kenya and she was so impressed by the returns that
her friend got from the investment. Habida and Joash have recently bought a
piece of land along the southern bypass in Nairobi and they are so excited
about developing it. Habida having witnessed what her friend Keziah got from
her luxury apartment investments is even more excited and wants to put up
almost exactly the same kind of development and her intentions is to sell the
apartments at the same price as those of her friend Keziah.
When
I got that call from Habida I went ahead and booked a date with her and the
husband in the following week in my office. They got to the office at the time
we had agreed and as usual in the office I prepared a cup of hot coffee for
both of them. Habida’s mind was already made up she new what she wanted and the
expected returns. I listened to her explain to me how after this project she
would make enogh money to become and developer and she even joked about there
being more work for me, her husband was all silent, he is one of those reserved
guys. After she was through, it was my turn for me to give her my professional
advice of course I didn’t want to discourage her but one thing was for sure I
had a duty and professional one for that matter to manage her expectations.
My
first point was to congratulate them for a great idea and also for the
investment they already had in terms of the land. After that I had to share my
thoughts with them and as usual I asked them whether they had undertaken a feasibility study for the project. They
looked at each other and then looked at me, Habida went first and she shook her
head and I knew the answer, it was a big no. I took time to explain to them
what a feasibility study entails and what are the advantages of such an endeavor
before undertaking any real estate development, I can tell you for sure they
walked out of my office more satisfied but of course with their expectations
managed.
Many
people today are like Habida and her husband when it comes to investing in real
estate developments. Either they know a friend who made a kill from a project
they undertook or have heard a good rumor somewhere of how they can put up a
development and become instant millionaires. Truth be told you can get into a
certain real estate and it becomes a nightmare for you. One important aspect in
real estate development that people often forget is undertaking a feasibility study and I would like to address it in a
very simple but self explanatory way.
What is a Feasibility Study?
According
to Wikipedia A feasibility study is an evaluation and analysis
of the potential of the proposed project which is based on extensive
investigation and research to support the process of decision making.
In simple terms as the name implies, a feasibility study is an analysis
of the viability of an idea. The feasibility study focuses on helping answer
the essential question of “should we
proceed with the proposed project idea?” All activities of the study are
directed toward helping answer this question.
A feasibility
study main goal is to assess the economic viability of the proposed
business. The feasibility study needs to answer the question: “Does
the idea make economic sense?”
The feasibility
study of a proposed project seeks
to determine the
following but not limited to;
(1) Source of capital
(2) Market readiness to the investment
(3) Will the project budget be enough
(4) Will it be profitable i.e. Return On
Investment (ROI)
Source of capital
Any real
estate investment requires a heavy capital outlay and would have been important
for Habida and her husband to seat down and analyze the different options they
have in order to fund their project. Without that the idea might just remain in
papers forever. There are different sources of capital today to fund a real estate
development but the trick always is, the funding body always would like to know
how the investor will be able to pay back the money and that’s where a business plan comes in handy (To be
discussed in the next issue). Different
options have different cost implications and one must better leave this option
to the experts to do it for them because the funding bodies are also in
business. Once the source of funding is settled on they needed to move to the
next step which is;
Market Readiness
The most
important question that one need to ask him/herself is this “is the market
ready for this kind of real estate development?” For the case of Habida and
husband, the location of the land would be a very big challenge to put up
luxury apartments there, but if they were to go for a low cost housing project
it would have very positive results. It is important to study the real estate
market and understand what sells in a particular place and what can’t sell
because here we are talking about an investment.
Also, a market
assessment may be conducted that will help determine the
viability of a proposed product in the marketplace. The market assessment will
help to identify opportunities in a market or market segment. If no
opportunities are found, there may be no reason to proceed with a feasibility
study. If opportunities are found, the market assessment can give focus and
direction to the construction of business scenarios to investigate in the
feasibility study. A market assessment will provide much of the information for
the marketing feasibility section of the feasibility study.
Project Budget
For any real
estate project to take off it is important to have a project budget. The project
budget helps an investor organize their financies, it also helps them when
looking for finance from the financiers. A project budget includes; Cost of
land, Construction estimates, Professional fees, marketing costs and any other
expenses that would go into the project. This is a very key step to undertake
as it is used to determine the next course of the project. The project budget
may prove too expensive to undertake the project and therefore some cost
cutting initiative are put in place what is commonly referred to as cost engineering.
Return on Investment
At this stage
the investor is able to know whether the project is profitable or not and there
they are able to decide whether to go on or not. Once the investors knows the project
budget, and market studies have been done and they know how much to expect from
the proposed development, an analysis is done to compare the project cost and
the estimated income from the project. This step informs the investor whether
the project is profitable or not.
Feasibility
studies aim to objectively and rationally uncover the strengths and weaknesses
of an existing business or proposed venture, opportunities and threats present
in the environment, the resources required
to carry through, and ultimately the prospects for success. In its
simplest terms, the two criteria to judge feasibility are cost required and value to be attained.
A
feasibility study evaluates the project's potential for success; therefore, the
perceived objectivity is an important factor in the credibility to be placed on
the study by potential investors. It must therefore be conducted with an
objective, unbiased approach to provide information upon which decisions can be
based.
A consultant may
help you with the pre-feasibility study, but you should be involved. This
is an opportunity for you to understand the issues of project development.
Results
and Conclusions
The
conclusions of the feasibility study should outline in depth the various
scenarios examined and the implications, strengths and weaknesses of each. The
project leaders need to study the feasibility study and challenge its
underlying assumptions. This is the time to be skeptical.
Go/No-Go
Decision
The go/no-go
decision is one of the most critical in business development. It is the
point of no return. Once you have definitely decided to pursue a business
scenario, there is usually no turning back. The feasibility study will be a
major information source in making this decision. This indicates the importance
of a properly developed feasibility study.
Feasibility
Study vs. Business Plan
A feasibility
study is not a business plan. The separate roles of the feasibility study and
the business plan are frequently misunderstood. The feasibility study provides
an investigating function. It addresses the question of “Is this a viable
business venture?” The business plan provides a planning function. The business
plan outlines the actions needed to take the proposal from “idea” to “reality.”
The
feasibility study outlines and analyzes several alternatives or methods of
achieving business success. The feasibility study helps to narrow the scope of
the project to identify the best business scenario(s). The business plan deals
with only one alternative or scenario. The feasibility study helps to narrow
the scope of the project to identify and define two or three scenarios or
alternatives. The person or business conducting the feasibility study may work
with the group to identify the “best” alternative for their situation. This
becomes the basis for the business plan.
The
feasibility study is conducted before the business plan. A business plan is
prepared only after the business venture has been deemed to be feasible. If a
proposed business venture is considered to be feasible, a business plan is
usually constructed next that provides a “roadmap” of how the business will be
created and developed. The business plan provides the “blueprint” for project
implementation. If the venture is deemed not to be feasible, efforts may be
made to correct its deficiencies, other alternatives may be explored, or the
idea is dropped.
Reasons
Given Not to Do a Feasibility Study
Reasons given
for not doing a feasibility analysis include:
- We know it’s feasible. An
existing business is already doing it.
- Why do another feasibility study
when one was done just a few years ago?
- Feasibility studies are just a
way for consultants to make money.
- Feasibility studies are a waste
of time.
The reasons
given above should not dissuade you from conducting a meaningful and accurate
feasibility study. Once decisions have been made about proceeding with a
proposed project, they are often very difficult to change. You may need to live
with these decisions for a long time.
Reasons to
Do a Feasibility Study
Conducting a
feasibility study is a good business practice. If you examine successful
businesses, you will find that they did not go into a new business venture
without first thoroughly examining all of the issues and assessing the
probability of business success.
Below are
other reasons to conduct a feasibility study.
- Gives focus to the project and
outline alternatives.
- Narrows business alternatives
- Identifies new opportunities
through the investigative process.
- Identifies reasons not to
proceed.
- Enhances the probability of
success by addressing and mitigating factors early on that could affect
the project.
- Provides quality information for
decision making.
- Helps in securing funding from
lending institutions and other monetary sources.
- Helps to attract equity
investment.
The
feasibility study is a critical step in the project assessment process. If
properly conducted, it may be the best investment you ever made.
Habida and
husband are now in the right path towards making the millions from the new
venture “a block of low cost apartments”
Are you like
Habida and Husband? And you have these great ideas on how to invest in real
estate? Always consult the experts.
The writer
can be reached on
Phone +254726432769
Email gachaguagreat@gmail.com
Twitter
@Gachaguas
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